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CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 7:00pm EDT
in this debate. we forget sometimes because we talk about how mitt romney is down in the race but he's still got a chance. only down 3 points nationally in the journal/nbc poll. in key swing points he's pulling even in florida, down 1, closer in virginia, down 2, he's still down by 8 percentage points in our poll in the state of ohio, which is a problem for this reason. look at the map of swing states. if you look at the ones where mitt romney is running within 4 points of president obama, places like florida, virginia, iowa, missouri where he's ahead, north carolina where he's even or ahead, you add all those to the solid states for mitt montana and the leaning states for mitt romney, he's still only at 263 electorate votes. he needs to bring ohio or other swe swing state, nevada, new hampshire. he's got an unparallel opportunity tonight to come on stage with the president of the united states and make his case, larry. >> john, the wall street journal poll and others have shown that romney has closed the gap a little pit with president obama at least nationwide and some of the sw
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 7:00pm EDT
the first debate. romney is totally debate fit in my opinion. he is in fighting shach after demolishing ten opponents in 20 debates. mr. obama on the other hand, he's a bit doughy, i don't think he's in shape for this. and by the way, just minutes ago, north korea accused the united states of plotting to attack it as a steppingstone to dominate asia and has used the word nuclear war. well, how does president obama plan on handling these nut jobs? let me tell you that wednesday's debate, romney is going to broaden his message to include foreign policy. >>> plus we have a surprise increase in the ism manufacturing report. >>> plus again bernanke defends his debt plan. he's enabling the obama treasury to sell trillions of dollars in deficits. >>> hundreds of mexicans are involved in the fast and furious. this is a terrible story, hundreds of mexicans may be involved. should attorney general holder be fired immediately over this new information? >>> the ism signals no recession, that's good. but is the obama-bernanke qe stimulus plan going to bail out the president in this elect
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 4:00am EDT
romney comes out swinging in his first debate with president obama with the two men sparring over how to fix the u.s. economy. waiting on spain, the ecb expected to hold steady on rates. country's president tells cnbc that europe's policymakers must remain focused. >> if we get bogged down into what was meant by the june agreements and waste time on this kind of discussions, then it's much less likely that a coherent system will emerge. >> madrid continues to put faith in the hands of private investors while finance minister heads to london to raise funds for the country's bad bank. and india's crucial services sector grows at its fastest rate in seven months, while the government gets set to take another swing at boosting it through foreign investments. thanks very much for joining me. anyone that's missing ross, he'll be back in tomorrow. but for now, you're all mine. . plenty to come on the next couple hours of the show. lots of guests to help us figure out what's going on. we'll get a view from sydney about cautious shoppers. borrowing costs are expected to fall. we'll bring you t
CNBC
Oct 7, 2012 7:30pm EDT
after positive economic data and what some called a romney rally following the presidential debate. the market was mixed, though, on friday. the auto sales are powering on an annualized basis, auto sales hit 15 million units, the best number since march of '08. gm and ford posted flat numbers but chrysler, toyota and volkswagen were strong. >>> a major milestone for facebook. the social network surpassed the 1 billion user mark for the month of september. ceo mark zuckerberg made the announcement this week. the company stock is down from its share price earlier this year. >>> there's no such thing as a foolish question about money, the markets or the economy. so says my next guest tom gardner, ceo of "the motley fool." tom, good to see you, thank you for joining us. >> good to see you, maria. >> we got the numbers out on friday showing 114,000 new jobs created for the month. the unemployment rate the lowest in 3 1/2 years, 7.8%. were you surprised by the numbers? what do you think it tells us where we are in the recovery? >> this is good news, no question. i think there are a couple of
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 6:00pm EDT
you tweeted me about the debate, keep an idea on the ticker below. you may see your tweet. romney went right into a call from north american energy self-sufficiently, coal as an endangered species under obama. listen. >> i like coal. i want to make sure we can continue to burn clean coal. people in the coal industry feel like it's getting crushed by your policies. >> lots of bozos went in and bought the coal stocks. all the coal stocks on. this wrong take away, people! coal's hostage to chinese demand more than u.s. use. that's not the case for the users of coal. the users, people. and that's why i said romney's giving you a heads up to buy american electric and power, two coal building utilities that have to spend far less retrofitting facilities under romney staff epa. i would be a seller of the console energies in the pea bodies in the strength. i take down union pacific. it is the carrier of clean coal. i would never recommend a company on this show with bad fund am fundamentals. but they can be justified even with this sitting president. the pure coal plays are faltering fund
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 9:00am EDT
weekend post-debate poll. romney was ahead by two points. there was some impact from the unemployment numbers on friday, you look at the data since the debate it's a 47-47 tie. there's big events coming up. the first debate was the biggest thing since the conventions. now this thursday on the 11th you've got paul ryan and vice president joe biden. this is going to be very important for obama's effort to stave off romney. then on the 16th you got the second obama-romney debate. on the 22nd final obama-romney debate. then the last friday before the election one more jobs number. my own inclination the job numbers aren't quite as "game change"ing for debates as for the reason voters know how they feel about the economy. they don't need a government report. it does get a lot of attention and we got a race that's plainly at this point even though obama still has a slight advantage in the battleground states this race can go either way. >> interesting. then we got the governor, of course, speaking at vmi about foreign policy, an area for which a little while he appeared to want to take the
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 3:00pm EDT
lot to do with mitt romney's strong debate showing last night. eamon javers is in washington with the latest reaction to last night's action. eamon. >> hi, bill. the reviews are in for last night's presidential debate. not so good for barack obama. definitely good for mitt romney. a lot of folks concluding that romney had one of the stronger debate performances last night in presidential debating history, at least in recent memory. that's not good news for the president. you can tell how both these campaigns feel about their performance last night based on what they're doing today. we have not seen mitt romney out in front of television cameras so far today, but president obama hosted a rally in colorado today, giving him a chance to have almost a do over from last night's performance. take a listen. >> when i got on to the stage, i met this very spirited fellow who claimed to be mitt romney. but it couldn't have been mitt romney because the real mitt romney has been running around the country for the last year promising $5 trillion in tax cuts that favor the wealthy. the fellow on st
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 7:00pm EDT
second. >> thanks for the lead-in about reagan. >> romney has victory in the deba debate. every single poll shows he's picked up 5, 6, 7 points. some of these local battleground states picked up 8, 9 points. is does that change your stock market outlook from bear to bull? >> you get rid of obama care and 3.8% tax on investment income and get the tax on medical device makers, larry. >> i will bet you $20 right now. i'll make a romney $10,000 bet that obama care is not repealed. >> i'll bet you it will be repealed, but i'll buy a gift for your new daughter. >> thank you. >> if romney wins, which was not expected a week ago but is now more expected, if he wins what is the stock market impact? is it greater than earnings and the federal reserve? how do you assess a romney victory? >> what becomes important is the effect on capital gains and dividend taxes. we as investors view asset investments on an after-tax basis. they make those particular investments more attractive, and we saw this with respect to to t cool stocks. >> the average small business has 2.5 employees, the average is over
CNBC
Oct 9, 2012 7:00pm EDT
wonder that the president has spent the past debate week defending big bird and calling mitt romney a liar over tax reform and take a listen to mitt romney today. >> these are tough times with real serious issues. so you have to scratch your head when the president spends the last week talking about saving big bird. >> so it has been five years to the day that the dow closed at the all time high. but would a romney win get investors to move the dow? one out of every five americans have no religious affiliations? we begin this evening with this story that is happening right now. the government has continued it's vendetta against big banks. the government accuses the mortgage lender of reckless trifecta issuing at least 100,000 affected loans. this story comes as the cnbc.com story makes headlines. the question is why is the government and the taxpayor still in the housing business? let's go to our guest. diana, good evening. >> well look, confidence in housing is coming back. especially in home prices. some say they think home prices will fall further. optimism has been rising for 11
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 7:00pm EDT
, mitt romney pulling a clint eastwood, debating an empty chair. first up, it was the tweet that was heard around the world. my good friend jack welch set off a social media firestorm. take a look at his tweet. "unbelievable jobs numbers. these chicago guys will do anything. can't debate so change numbers, end quote. he's chase by accusing the white house of skewing the data to help president obama. earlier on cnbc, u.s. labor secretary fired back with this response. please take a listen. >> these are our best trained and best skilled individuals that have been working in the bls and it's really ludicrous to hear that kind of statement. >> here now is the legendary jack welch, former ge chairman, ceo and great friend of "the kudlow report." it's great to see you. i don't feel like defending obama, i don't feel like defending the labor secretary but i got to tell you, i worked in the white house under reagan, omb, you can't touch those numbers, jack, you can't touch those numbers before they're published. >> larry, look, this election is too important to have it hinge on one number. w
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 6:00am EDT
the romney campaign perspective as we get into the last two debates? >> well, becky, i think that the democratic party had been painting governor romney as some cartoon, that he didn't like people, didn't like americans. i think the debate allowed people to see him directly and to understand and get a feel for him and to know that he does care not just about some americans but all americans, and that means that he's got to continue to pound out there, that we need to have a better policy, an economic policy and that we need to get more jobs, we get more people employed and frankly you're not going to, unless there's a change in america's economic policy and we can't afford to wait and that's the message that he's got to do. but the good news is that the polls are showing that the people are closing in and that things are getting better, some polls are showing him ahead now in virginia, within one in ohio, ahead in colorado, ahead in florida, and if those things come to fruition, i think he's going to win the presidential election, i'm pretty happy about it. >> governor rendell we
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 6:00am EDT
him during mitt romney's debate prep by talking expectations for the first debate. of course it's just two days away. joining us with a review, terry nelson, gop strategist, and democratic strategist morris reed. let's start with you this morning, terry. there is a sense the "washington post" has a piece out this morning that romney needs to be the instigator, he needs to be the aggressor. is that right and can he do it? >> i don't know if he needs to be the instigator. there has been clearly a lot of focus on the romney campaign. he needs to have a very solid performance and 2that's the mos important thing, that he makes his points in a solid and forceful way and if he does that are, i think and he will come out all right. but the idea that he needs to come in a have a debate defining moment in order for to be a success i don't think is right. >> is there one issue or theme that he has to hit home? >> he has to -- this race is about the economy and jobs. that's what people care about. and i think one of the distractions for the romney campaign has been that they have not been abl
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 7:00pm EDT
barack obama at the debate, larry. >> all right. many thanks, we appreciate it. >>> so mitt romney outhustled, outfacted, outenergized and outinformed president obama. msnbc's chris matthews, an old pal of mine, completely went off the rails. take a listen to this. >> where was obama tonight? romney, i love the split screen. staring at obama. addressing him like the prey. he did it just right. i'm coming at an incumbent. i got to beat him. you got to beat the champ and i'm going to beat him tonight. what was romney doing? he was winning. >> he sure was, chris. he was winning big time. so now that romney is on a roll, where does he run after last night's sweeping win? let's talk. here now is democratic strategist steve mcmahon. and then cnbc contributor geoff jennifer rubin, author of the "washington post" right turn blog. jennifer was it a game changer for the whole presidential race? >> it potentially can be. what has to happen now romney has to build on that day after day. the difficulty they've had, this was true in the primary as well, they have a few good days and then they ge
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 7:00pm EDT
] humana. >>> welcome back. barack obama and mitt romney are ready for their first presidential debate. that will be tomorrow night, 7:00 to 8:00 p.m. polls show a close race. the nation ago average has obama leading romney 49-46. the economy is issue number one and whose plans are better for the middle class. to answer that we are holding our own debate right here on the kudlow report. we are joined by new jersey democratic congressman and jim gillmore to make the case for governor romney. there will be time to talk among your selves at my disgression. the first question is going to congressman big paskrel. 1.3% gdp 25 million people out of the workforce. mr. president, what is your solution to the prosperity and the recovery that continues to elude us? >> over the past 30 months we have had an increase in private sector jobs. but that is the direction we are going in. if you remember what happened before that, when the president raised his hand in january of 2009, we were losing 700 no,000 jobs a month. but the fact of the matter is we are going in the right direction now and we shou
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 6:00am EDT
three presidential, one vice presidential debates, we have a chance for mitt romney to set a different impression with the american people than he's been able to do so far. who knows what president obama will do and what events are happening in the world. but i'm not sure other than some tightening from a little surge that obama had which i think is receding a little bit, i'm not sure what nate is talking about. >> john, you wrote a column that talks about the debates and the impact of the debates traditionally. and made the case that traditionally it makes very little impact. >> there are many individual moments that make an impression. but to fundamentally change where a race is going is very rare and you need a combination of events. the example that i used in that piece, andrew, was 2000, al gore had a lead of about what president obama has now entering the debates against george w. bush. he had a reputation as a strong debater. his body language was off, he was condescending to bush. bush was surprisingly well performed and personable. you had the bush campaign take advantage of s
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 8:00pm EDT
for al gore. when gore lost the election, in the debates he said here's what's mitt romney's got to do. he's got to figure a line of attack that at the same time makes president obama looks bad, makes him look good, and press that through the entire 90 minutes. it's an economy debate. that is supposed to be mitt romney's wheel house. we'll see if he can pull that off in the right tone against a popular president. it's hard. there's always risk when you attack the president. mitt romney doesn't have much choice but to try to do it. we'll see where the help of jim lehrer, the moderator, exactly how he uses this moment. >> talk to you in a moment. whenever there's a big night involving politics, you can bet larry kudlow is involved. he's here on set with us. you were disappointed with mitt romney on the convention at large. is this a time to reform that. >> particularly on the economy and jobs. at the whole republican convention and mitt romney's speech set that campaign back several weeks in my opinion. they got no bump and no bounce. in fact, they probably got a negative bounce. so t
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 1:00pm EDT
, president obama, governor romney do kick off the first of three presidential debates and cnbc will carry it live. our coverage begins at 8 p.m. eastern time. it's your money, your vote. sue? >>> ty, the financial crisis haunting america's biggest bank, jpmorgan being sued by new york attorney general eric schneiderman, claiming that the bear sterns business that jpmorgan took over in 2008 defraud mortgage bond investors a are. our senior correspondent scott cone has been working on the case. scott? >> sue, under the head nothing good deed goes unpunished, if how you characterize the takeover of bear stearns, the federal government for the $10 a shake jpmorgan got not only bear stearns' assets but liabilities, including, authorities say responsibility four some of the most egregious conduct in the financial crisis you churning out residential mortgages by the thousands, bundling them into what the firm told investors were quality securities, knowing all along many of the mortgages were duds a systemic fraud on thousands of investors, the lawsuit says, deceiving them about the fundamentally d
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 9:00am EDT
perception that romney won the debates. health care, for instance, hitting at another high here. if we take a look at the etf that tracks health care, xlv, that's the new 52-week high, and the kol is up by 1.25%. the financials seem that will do better under a republican administration. kohl's is interesting, jim, because there are a couple of positive analysts out saying that now with nat gas is $3 and maybe there could be a bid for coal. coal in the east is 4 to 5 is where nat gas has to be competitive. and union pacific is the major player in the way coal is shipped out west. union pacific remains a buy. if you want to buy and be reg rouse about it you can buy union pa sick and not pea body. >> some of the japanese automakers are worth watching. the ft has numbers out. the exports of autos to china in the past month have been sharply lower among japanese automakers. toyota was down 40% year on year in the month of september and we're seeing the adrs trade down a percent. >> take a look overall at asian exports. that chart, i don't have it for you, sorry, is shocking. shocking. when
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 6:00am EDT
yesterday after mitt romney's strong performance in wednesday night's presidential debate. i looked at a couple. author of the book health care investing, he were of currently fund manager at a investing company with a focus on health care. >> yeah. >> they did come back by the end of the session yesterday to some extent. what was the rationale that if romney gets in, obama care goes, so people will go back to the emergency room where the -- someone pays for it, but the hospitals get hurt anyway. >> right. simplistic trader thing. obama loses, obamacare goes away, 30 million all show up at the hospital and don't pay the bills. >> and the hospitals, they're results over thes past 0 years have been negatively impacted so-tsto what extent? >> it's changed over time. it's gotten worse as people have had to pay more of their insurance bills, but something like 1300, 1400 basis points of uncompensated care. >> we know that -- what is the percentage before obamacare of people covered in the u.s.? is it 80% by some insurance? >> it's been going down since way before obama. since late '80s. >> in
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 1:00pm EDT
what mitt romney said in last night's debate. we spoke about coal stocks. utilities -- wells fargo writing utilities should do well under the romney administration because of that. we're seeing some of these utility stocks moving higher. con edison up better than 1%. >>> out in latest check on the pulse of the economy. nation's biggest retailers out with latest sales figures. looks like americans are taking a little bit of a pause after wrapping up back-to-school shopping. target says september same-stores rising 2.1%. a little bit shy of analyst estimates. target says it will stop reporting monthly same-store sales next fiscal year. that will follow in a practice established by rival walmart. macy's sales up but the department store also fell short of some forecasts. gap, however, did beat estimates. sales there up 6% in september. the stock at a new 52-week high today at $36.93. costco also seeing sales up 6%. that topped estimates. there's limited brands shares for good measure. sue? >>> time for a tech check, ty. we're keeping an eye today on google, among other tech items. the
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 6:00pm EDT
just because it's the first debate for romney and obama. it's because here on "mad money," it's wednesday. what do we play on wednesdays? you've got it. time to see about your pofrls. time to play ffd ffd. time to play "am i diversified?." we've gotten inundated with tweets. we have to go to them. this is from dimas 720. m mo,, pep, point guard, cop, nyb. i'm saying it's highly unlikely. procter & gamble, uh-oh, pepsi, consumer products company. altria, conoco phillips, new york community, high-yielding financial. keep altria. between pepsi and procter, keep pepsi. we're going to put in a health care company. at this point i'm going a little aggressive. go celgene. let's go to ed in new york, please. ed? >> caller: hey. >> hey. modern portfolio. it's a modern portfolio. i have popeye's. i love the red beans and rice. aig is my favorite financial. michael kors is the terrific apparel company where they still charge $200 even at the outlets. dynavax. and facebook is not doing as badly as everybody else. internet company, financial, apparel company, biotech and we've got a restaura
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 5:00pm EDT
debate everybody was saying mr. romney has not outlined his own economic proposal so while you may say mr. obama has fallen short mr. romney is not putting out his case. >> i disagree with that. there is a lot of specificity on proposals on energy, the keystone pipeline issue and regulation and make sure we stop the huge growth of regulations and entitlements. he has been very specific. i think his tax program is pro growth. there is a lot of specificity and people look at it. it is the kind of thing the economy needs right now and that is what basic economics tells me. >> bernanke has sited your work as a big influence on current monetary policy yet mr. romney has said ben bernanke should be fired. are you advising that ben bernanke should get fired? >> i don't get into personnel issues. i would say on quoting different rules i think quantitative easing has not been helpful. i think we had good monetary policy in the '80s and '90s until recently. that is what we want to do. that is what the romney program is all about. >> john, i'm curious. there is a lot of talk about the evans rule and
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 4:00am EDT
. >>> and next, washington and its debate tonight as romney and obama finally square off. we'll have a preview of what to expect and what's at stake with our very own democrat-republican panel. >>> and real estate is on the rise. we head to new york with founder barbara corcoran. mariano rajoy has denied reports that spain will request a bailout. the spanish prime minister joked that news agencies either knew more than he did or that they were, in fact, wrong. meanwhile, moody's rating agency said it will publish a review into spain's credit rating at some point this month. all spanish tax revenues have jumped significantly from precrisis levels due to a high incide incidents -- and seeking profits abroad as domestic demand wanes. just over $16.5 billion euros from corporate tax from the almost $45 billion collected in 2007. let's get out to julia in madrid. this was always going to be one of the challenges for the rajoy government to keep a handle on revenues as it tries to cut spending and increase taxes. >> reporter: absolutely. yes, he's announced the billions worth of austerity me
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 4:00pm EDT
debate. we set the stage with new poll numbers out of the key swing states. stick around. the gap between the two candidates is narrowing more than ever. >>> would ceo's make romney president? wait until you hear the rationale. >>> and facing realities of the digital age. facebook may be watching your web searches to steer relevancy your way. is it just good business? we'll debate both sides of the issue coming up. back in a moment. margin. mr. margin? don't be modest, bob. you found a better way to pack a bowling ball. that was ups. and who called ups? you did, bob. i just asked a question. it takes a long time to pack a bowling ball. the last guy pitched more ball packers. but you... you consulted ups. you found a better way. that's logistics. that's margin. find out what else ups knows. i'll do that. you're on a roll. that's funny. i wasn't being funny, bob. i know. [ man ] when i'm in my zone... every move i make is a statement... ♪ ...that inspires me to make my mark. ♪ [ male announcer ] the all-new lexus es 350. ♪ boring. boring. [ jack ] after lauren broke up with me
CNBC
Oct 2, 2012 3:00pm EDT
the big debate tomorrow night between the president and mitt romney. i want to ask you about politics and investing. first, what do you think about this market? what are you hearing from clients? you think we're going to continue to see chasing of high beta stocks or has this market gotten tired? >> our clients are scared. what we're hearing first and fare mo foremost is a lot of uncertainty. is europe going to melt down? are we going to have a fiscal clif cliff in the u.s.? is israel going to bomb snooirn on top of that, they're hearing the dysfunctional politics from the u.s. election. they're hearing president obama does not have the answer. they hear from the other side that neither does mitt romney. they're scared. so many of our clients have actually been on the sidelines. this has been a relatively low volume rally. i think it still has legs. i think multiples are reasonable and there's still room to go. >> that's what we have pondered here lately, dick. is this sort of stealth rally, as i called it before -- here we sit near 5 1/2 rear hiyear high the market, even as
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 3:00pm EDT
legal protection. >>> just hours before the first presidential debate tonight, mitt romney is raising eyebrows by getting more specific than ever about his tax plans. eamon javers is in washington with details. >> i should say the the romney campaign e-mailed me this morning to point out that this proposal that romney floated out there yesterday is not a specific proposal. just kicking around some ideas. but the idea he kicked around was an interesting one. capping tax deduction at about $17,000. that is, you would have a bucket of tax deductions, and you could fill it with your mortgage deduction or other things. so who would this help, and who would it hurt? here's the hypothetical type of guy that it would hurt. this is a hypothetical, but if you're a hot-shot young lawyer making $200,000 in new york city, you've got probably a high mortgage payment relative to your salary. you're paying high state and local taxes. if you made charitable deductions, this is a proposal that might hurt you more than it helps you. so who would benefit under this scenario that romney floated out there
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 6:00am EDT
, higher level of energy in the next debate and stop the momentum that romney accumulated last night. >> okay. yeah, i had so many different thoughts, john, as we watched the whole thing. i remember that a lot of republicans were supporting newt gingrich because just for this moment, they wanted -- they thought newt was such a great debater, they wanted to see someone like newt talk to president obama about his policies and about the last four years. and they thought newt would have been the guy to do it. and i don't think that the republicans now feel like they lost a step by having romney there. and in watching, i've tried to sometimes espouse free market principles, private sector language about how to approach certain things. and i got to tell you, there were a couple times last night where my eyes just got wider as i listened and, i don't know, sometimes your stances can make you -- if you're right about policy, it just -- maybe it's easier to win a debate. >> well, joe, a couple points. first of all, i think you're dead on about the gingrich point because i think mitt romney wa
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 4:00pm EDT
in about three weeks today. is this a romney rally following that debate last night or more so on the heels of commentary out of europe? top strategists will be weighing in on what was behind today's moves. some on the street are speculating that the rally has to do with the strong showing by governor mitt romney last night in the first presidential debate of the 2012 election. let's get to courtney reagan. she's breaking down the stocks today that moved or could have been moved in one direction or another as a result of that. over to you. >> thank you, maria. mitt romney did need to revis revitalize his campaign. it looks like he did it last night. wall street took some notice today. coal stocks, one of the big winners in today's trading after romney made this comment to president obama. >> by the way, i like coal. i'm going to make sure we can continue to burn clean coal. people in the coal industry feel like it's getting crushed by your policies. i want to get america and north america energy independent so we can create those jobs. >> if you're bullish on coal, you're going to
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 12:00pm EDT
now with a new administration, possibly a romney administration will do because they've gone back and forth from the far left to almost the middle in the last debate and so maybe what we expect to be an extreme republican position will be a very moderate republican position. we just don't know that yet. we don't know how much is a noise of politicians, sound bites and momentary attempts to appease the crowd on both sides. i don't think that one would make a market forecast based on one's prediction on whether romney comes into president or obama remains in. >> mr. vogel, let's go back here on the expectations of real returns for investors because i think you're talking about something that could be incredibly important. there's been tremendous concern regarding pension funds and their expected rates of returns on a yearly basis of around 8%. some said that's unrealistic. do you believe that's now fair? >> it's ridiculous. it's a numbers game in which the bested interest of the pension managers are to offer high returns and bested interest of the pension funds themselves are not im
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 9:00am EDT
morning after the first presidential debate, and the big question is, will we see a romney bounce that could be a game changer in the race for the white house? good morning. welcome. i'm melissa lee along with carl quintanilla and jim cramer. david faber is at the economic summit in larue, texas. he'll join us from there in just a few minutes to kick off an exclusive interview with meg whitman. let's have a look at the futures this morning. we are seeing a positive bounce here. we are digesting, as we mentioned, last night's debate as well as jobless claims which came in lower than expected. the previous week was revised slightly higher. we are, of course, looking ahead to the jobs report on friday. as for europe, the ecb, as expected, holding the course on rates. we are looking at these headlines crossing from mario dragi. we'll monitor those as to where he will stand and the ecb stand on future rate cuts. >>> our road map starts in denver where president obama speaks this morning, trying to counter the widespread perception that he lost last night's debate. his in-rate contract down
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 2:00pm EDT
at donald trump and his, well, smallness. during the tax debate, romney said the top earners are really small businesses and they should not be taxed more. obama said they're more like donald trump and they should pay more. >> i'm not going to reduce the share of taxes paid by high-income people. high-income people are doing just fine in this economy. they'll do fine whether you are president or i am. >> after the trash talk on donald trump, obama attacked -- >> they're all a bunch of millionaires and billionaires who are small businesses. donned trumps is a small business. i know donald trump doesn't like to think of himself as small anything, but that's how you define small business, if you are getting business income. >> that's the right sound bite. after that sound bite, obama then attacked jet owners saying if you have a private jet you should be taxed more. even romney, he's pretty wealthy himself, he refused to come to the support of the wealthy. skip that sound bite i guess. of course, no one should feel sorry for the rich. let's save our tears for poor big bird. but the
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 9:00am EDT
presidential debate on wednesday and the chairman will join us live to give us a preview of how governor romney is preparing. >>> we have the q4 playbook with a man that manages nearly $400 billion and cheryl sandberg second in command of facebook speaking out about the ipo and the future of the company and more of our exclusive interview with her and more in the next hour. >>> we'll start with the markets. it is the first trading day of the fourth quarter after rising 6% in q3 and our markets poised for more gains. our cash is director of floor operations with ubs and joins us this morning. good morning. nice way to kick this quarter off. >> nice way, yes. >> hard to tell what it is attributed, and evans comments today clearly dovish and ism better than expected. what's at work here? >> we started out with a little booster shot out of europe. asia was not as strong as some people had hoped. then europe had had some data that looked on the face of it to be perhaps even mediocre, but it was interpreted to be not as bad as people had worried about and not indicative of europe's sl
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 6:00am EDT
that. >> no, no, governor romney, he's a good debater. i'm just okay. but what i'm most concerned about is having a serious discussion about what we need to do to keep the country growing. >> a new nbc news "wall street journal" poll finds that nearly four in ten voters say that the upcoming debates will be either extremely or quite important to determining their vote for president. another 34% of voters polled say that the upcoming debates will be somewhat important to their votes, so the stakes are high tonight. president obama's lead in the nationwide polls is narrowing. meantime, romney has pulled even in florida. john harwood is in denver this morning and he will join us in just a few minutes with the other poll numbers and see just exactly how close it is. then we're going to try our own debates. at 6:30 eastern time, we have strategists from both sides of the aisle. democrat jimmy williams versus republican joe watkins. an hour later, former dnc chair and vermont governor howard dean is facing off against ed conard. irene rosenfeld, the ceo of mondolez international. the ma
CNBC
Oct 9, 2012 4:00pm EDT
even grasping at things like mitt romney's strong debate performance. some call the stock gains the next day a romney rally. money moving into stocks and the theme don't fight the fed again and again. the economy is showing signs of cracks. today cutting global growth. it is always important to note fundamentals matter. earnings and profits matter. history has not been kind to investors when they have ignored this. we will keep watching those fundamentals. before we go take a look at wall street action today. we had a negative showing. the dow jones down. the volume was light. nasdaq gave up 1.5%. and the s&p 500 down 14.5 points. here are the recaps on the earnings news. alcoa up a fraction. yum brands definitely better than expected numbers as well as revenue higher. the stock rallies 4% in the extended hours
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 3:00pm EDT
romney is doing better because he had a better outcome in the debate. i think most people still recognize that he has a lot to do. remember, romney has to do two things. one, he has to convince that president obama has not delivered. second, he has to convince the american people he can deliver. so he has to do it both things. there's still some heavy sledding for him on both fronts. in terms of the market, i think that over the next few weeks and months we're basically going to be driven not only by the political process but whether we get data that confirms the handoff from central bank action to fundamentals will happen. otherwise, this wedge that the central bank have created between valuations of fundamentals cannot be sustained forever. fundamentals have got to start coming up towards valuations, otherwise valuations will come down. >> mohammed, thank you so much for joining us today. >> thank you, michelle. >> all right. we've got about 51 minutes before the closing bell. the nasdaq is lower by nearly 14 points. >> don't go anywhere. there's still a lot more ahead on this busy frid
CNBC
Oct 9, 2012 3:00pm EDT
. >> but bill, aren't we losing the point here? governor romney at debate was very clear in terms of saying, i'm going to look at programs, and i'm going to say, is this program worth it to borrow money from china? i mean, that was his answer. so to throw an ad out there with big bird and say, oh, you know, we should be afraid of big bird and not wall street. i mean, it makes the public -- it makes me feel like this ad thinks that we are stupid. we know the point here. >> i think the sarcasm is pretty clear in there, don't you? i mean, come on. we all saw that as a light-hearted moment. even "saturday night live" made much of it. that is what it is. as far as wall street goes and the perception, zach, does it necessarily mean that if wall street's going to support romney, if he wins, does that mean there's a comeback in the making for them? >> yeah, i think it's a mistake for people on wall street to assume that a romney administration is going to change the declining dynamics and the declining profitability. a republican president is not going to be able to do anything about decreased trad
CNBC
Oct 9, 2012 6:00am EDT
the debate for romney. anybody who watched that debate really has second thoughts about obama. >> chuck talked about the enthusiasm gap, did some things that were very positive for romney as well. i think your point is that if jack was still the ceo and if ge owned 100% you're just making a tongue-and-cheek comment. >> if jack welch was still ceo chuck "today" would be walking into his office shaking and sweating. >> he try iz to get in the center a lot of center. >> i don't think he does. >> terrible in football in picking miami. >> on "meet the press" he was talking about the enthusiasm gap where republicans have a stronger enthusiasm this time around than the democrats. >> i just think the reporting is nothing unique. i think the reporting is very unfair when it comes to the republicans. >> check out some of the other networks. you'll see. >> i'll tell you something i see firsthand almost yesterday almost the whole day, i spent working on people to contribute to the campaign. >> right. >> the money is coming in, in incredible amounts. >> obama did $18 million. >> i don't be
CNBC
Oct 4, 2012 12:00pm EDT
is due to the perception that governor romney may have improved his standing at the first debate? >> i don't know. there's a lot of controversy about that. i've seen people argue that the rally we've had in the past couple of months reflects that obama might win, figuring that the market, you know, prefers dealing with somebody we know rather than somebody we don't know. i mean there's a lot of interpretations here, and obviously there are a lot of political color to all of this. look, i think that, you know, romney won last night. it isn't just that he won. obama lost with his performance. it brings him back as a credible candidate and he might win all of a sudden, whereas right before the elections everybody sort of wrote him off. so we have to look alt his policy proposals, and obama attacked romney for not having any, but actually on the fiscal side, he's getting pretty specific about favoring a cap on tax loopholes, and i think that's a great idea. i think it would, in fact, generate enough revenues to allow us to lock in on the bush tax cuts permanently. the question is whe
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 1:00pm EDT
tonight's debate. president obama and governor romney in final preparations. the latest polls have the president remaining ahead but maybe by a narrower margin. in trade showing obama ahead by two about a 72% probability of being re-elected. our chief washington correspondent john harwood live at the event site in denver. john, what's the objective for romney tonight? what does he need to do? >> mitt romney's got a very big task. he's got to do a couple things at the same time. first he's got to find a way to dent the argument that bill clinton and barack obama made at the democratic convention about how president obama's done as well as anyone could do in turning the economy around the last four years. secondly, he's got to make a positive case with passion, with credibility for his own economic plans, for how he's going to make life better for 100% of americans. third, he's going to have to deal with that 47% video which has really taken a toll on his campaign. he's got to do all those things at the same time. we've seen the history of debates, tyler. it is not easy to fundamentally
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 4:00pm EDT
on. >> governor romney, the consensus is he came out ahead in the debates. do you think he's going to be able to sustain that momentum? has he energized the base? >> he's clearly energized the base. i was just in denver speaking to a conservative group there. i've been doing some women for romney events. people are clearly very fired up. what they saw was a fantastic debate performance by governor romney. what they also saw was a contrast between someone and governor romney who understand the fooacts and could relate th to every day people's lives. president obama, it wasn't just that his performance was listless. president obama, there was though substance there. you always hear the expression sell the sizzle, not the steak. i always say if you don't have the steak, there's no sizzle. >> all right. from politics to the stock market. a stock you know very well. hewlett-packard. stock has been punished. meg whitman, the new ceo, is coming under fire. here's what she said. >> i'm confident 2013 will be the bottom of the turn around. then you can look forward, i think, to good growth
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 12:00pm EDT
, can't debate so change numbers. we'll see if mitt romney addresses that when he speaks in a few moments. have a good weekend. let's get to headquarters and "fast money" halftime. >>> welcome to the "halftime report". four hours to go before the close. the dow jones average that's a four year high from the dow, higher by -- it's over here. higher by 56 points. i need my glasses. s&p 500, 1466, a begin of more than five points. remember that number because we'll talk about goldman sachs. nasdaq higher by five points, 3154. here's what we're following. bullish on 2013. goldman sachs slaps a 1575 target on the s&p for next year but sees stocks dropping 15% this year. decline of more than 200 points in the s&p. what speed bumps are ahead important the rally. do you buy hp and sell facebook? one of the biggest loser of the week may be a better bet than a billion friends. we're trading the big movers today. we live dangerously here. first our lead story the jobs report. lots of conspiracy theorys flying around. unbelievable job numbers these chicago guys will do anything. can't debate
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 4:00am EDT
maintain his lead over mitt romney with two days before their first debate and 35 days before the election. new poll shows 49% of likely voters favoring the president versus 47% for romney. amongst all registered voter, obama holds a 5 point lead. but 52% of likely voters across key swing states favor the president. you'll be able to get full coverage of wedding who's presidential debate right here on cnbc, it starts at 8:00 p.m. eastern. a july says the rules set to go into effect october 12th won't properly justified by the cftc, the rules would cap the size of positions trading firms can take in certain commodity contracts and expand restrictions to swaps trade. meanwhile nokia has another big customer. the "wall street journal" says the company is going to unveil a deal with oracle take. the company's oracle world conference in san francisco. nokia's recently signed deals as well with groupon and amazon which dropped google maps. shares up marginally this morning julia got to a chance to sit down with sheryl sandberg. so tune in for that interview. shares in banco popular have
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 11:00pm EDT
, not just because it's the first debate for romney and obama. it's because here on "mad money," it's wednesday. what do we play on wednesdays? you've got it. time to see about your port o portfolios are protected. time to play "am i diversified?." this is where you call me, you tell me your top five holdings and i tell you whether you need to diversify. we've gotten inundated with tweets. we have to go to them. this is from dimas720. i think i know a dmas who writes am i diversified, altria, trokter and gamble can, conoco phillips, big california boo-yah. mike dimas is from summit new jersey. procter & gamble, uh-oh, pepsi, consumer products company. altria, there's a match game thing going on there. conoco phillips, new york community, high yielding financial. keep altria. between pepsi and procter, keep pepsi. proctor is a work in progress although mr. mcdonald is doing much better. we're going to put in yes, a health care company. at this point i'm going a little aggressive. go celgene. let's go to ed in new york, please. ed? >> caller: hey. >> hey. modern portfolio. it's a
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 2:00pm EDT
for this edition of "power lunch." >> street sign begins right now. >>> the latest polls have romney looking up, but could that lead the stock market down? it is our hot debate of the day. oil continues its slide. good news, america? maybe not. >>> plus, with home re-fis soaring, who's really seeing the new trickle-down money. >>> and we'll wish a happy birthday to the most successful acronym ever. it is a surprise party. >>> here's the big market story right now. it is oil and it is taking a real tumble. below $90 a barrel, its lowest level since august the 3rd. the rest of the market is looking pretty flat. let's get straight to the oil trade. >> the action is certainly in the energy markets today, mandy. we are looking at oil prices now near the lows of the session. this 3% to 4% slide that we have seen both in the wti oil market and brent crude market started overnight. there was a great deal of negative sentiment with the china pmi data, eurozone pmi data, concerns about weak demand. add to that the fact that the asian development bank talked about its gdp growth forecast for 20
CNBC
Oct 3, 2012 9:00am EDT
. big debate between the president and his republican challenger, mitt romney. it wasn't that long ago that rick perry was one of the challengers for the republican nomination for president. i asked him what he thinks romney is going to do tonight and how he is going to do in tonight's debate. >> this president has to defend the debt that's being created and i think governor romney's going to do a very good job of one of growth, of one of allowing the states to be more engaged in policies. >> reporter: so, of course, he thinks romney is going to do good tonight. is he partisan, no doubt about that. we'll see how it plays out. >> david, i understand that you're still going to talk to kyle bass in a few minutes. what is top of questions in your mind? >> kyle is a big macro thinker. he also runs a hedge fund that makes stock picks like everybody else. we're also going to talk about, first off, the growing debt world we're going to talk about that and might talk about stock runs in about ten minutes from now. >> all right. thank you very much, david faber. >> "the wall street journal" that
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 6:00pm EDT
weigh with the political wind, the debate doesn't seem to matter if romney wins or obama wins. >> if you look at the history of this down country, it doesn't matter who the president is going to be, we're going to have hospitals regardless of whether it's romneyor whether it's obama. so we're in a very good position throughout the election and beyond. >> are you the only publicly traded guys within this sector? >> we're the only ones that focus exclusively on hospitals. >> are there any hospitals left that would want to do a deal with you? do they understand your model? >> there are a lot of hospitals t market is hurj out there. there's about a half a trillion dollars of available hospital outlets out there. >> the pine like is huge we think that 2013 will be another big growth year for us. >> you didn't deal with september, this was your most recent lelease. it was one for st. vincent health, explain what happens, you guy that hospital, then what are the next steps? how does that become a creedo door your shareholders? >> that particular hospital we actually have st. vincent'
CNBC
Oct 8, 2012 11:00pm EDT
, does not wave with the political winds. it hasn't mattered about obama care. the debate seemingly doesn't matter if romney wins or if obama wins. >> that's logical when you think about it. you look at the history of this country. we've had a lot of presidents. a lot of presidents throughout the medicare sector. it really doesn't matter who the president is going to be. hospitals are going to be there. hospitals are the top of the pyramid for the delivery system in this country. so we're going to have hospitals whether it's romney or whether it's obama. 10 we're in a very good position throughout the election and beyond. >> are you the only publicly traded guys really in this sector? >> we are. we're the only ones that focus exclusively on hospital. >> and are there a lot of hospitals left that would want to do a deal with you? do they understand your model and that this could be beneficial for them and for you? >> there are a lot of hospitals there is about a half a trillion dollars of available hospital property out there. >> half a trillion? >> half a trillion. >> so every day y
CNBC
Oct 1, 2012 2:00pm EDT
think if you watch this debate very closely on wednesday, if mr. romney has a strong showing, all of that good, strong upward movement is going to come crashing back down around our had he on thursday. >> for all of the stocks in the sector or are there those that are immune to politics? >> in the hospital sector? i don't think anybody's immune to the politics. this is a very, very politicized group. their entire fate, in essence, of these stocks will depend in the near term at least on an obama win. that's because of the power of the implementation of health care reform. obama win something synonymous with january 1, 2014, most of that nasty uncompensated care, the no pay heads in the beds begins to go away. as hospitals have been the insurers of last resort, the investor reaction to the relief of that is this quite stunning and staggering move we've seen since post-convention. >> i'm worried about something a little more macro, sheryl. forget about health care reform law. tenet was a $20 stock eight years ago. hca came, went, now came back, community health has had issues. they see
CNBC
Oct 5, 2012 2:00pm EDT
earlier. >>> gas and energy a hot topic in the presidential race and the debate the other night. boone pickens firmly believes that mitt romney is the man with the right energy plan. let's chat with boone. boone pickens, founder of bp capital among many other things that he's done. i want to push back on you a bit here, boone. mitt romney saying i'm going to do this, open up more lands. yet when i read reports from companies that drill for gas they can't get the equipment to the people there. anyway, do we have as a nation the infrastructure to actually go after more of our own resources? >> we do have. but i think that the industry's kind of solared up here in the last two, three months. we've got plenty of resources. infrastructure in the northeast especially in the marcellus needs to advance a little bit. all that will happen. and now you still have very cheap natural gas prices. it is about 30% of what it is around the world. so very cheap. we have the cheapest energy in america. oil today is $90 a barrel. brent north sea the global price is normal in this country. i know you have
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